Friday, August 3, 2007

Enemy of the State

After being named GM of the Year in his first season as Islanders GM, Garth Snow has received some pretty harsh feedback in his first full offseason. However, all of us Islander fans should be grateful that while our GM has slowly taken his time in making roster decisions for the upcoming season, at least he is acting calmly and rationally. This is not the case for a fellow GM currently employed in the NHL.

When the salary cap was installed following the strike season, its main purpose was to allow smaller market teams to stay competitive with the wealthier large market clubs. The Edmonton Oilers are the epitome of this type of small market team. So while the addition of the salary cap attempted to stabilize the market, one particular GM has oddly disregarded common sense in redeveloping his team this summer.

Since the trading deadline, Oiler's GM Kevin Lowe has made some of the strangest moves, some even, dare I say, as krazy as some of the moves Milbury has made. It began with the trading of Ryan Smyth based on a minimal difference in asking price ($5.25 mil was offered, Smyth wanted $5.5). Oilers fans must be flabbergasted as to why such a small difference between the team's fiscal plans and its heart and soul player's demands could not be worked out. Furthermore, once you look at the moves that have transpired during the course of this summer, the decision to not resign Smyth becomes even more astounding.

The Oilers decided to hit the trade waters this summer and completed a deal that sent defenseman veteran Jason Smith and young forward Joffrey Lupul to the Flyers for defenseman Joni Pitkanen, Geoff Sanderson and a 3rd round pick. This deal on the surface seems to benefit the Oilers as they got a good young defenseman in Pitkanen, an experienced forward in Sanderson and a draft pick for an aging defensemen and a forward who had run himself out of favor with management. The only negative in this deal is that Jason Smith was probably the last real leader the Oilers had left after trading Smyth.

Then Krazy Kevin really got down to business. Lowe signed free agent defenseman Sheldon Souray to a five year $27 million contract ($5.4/yr). While the presence of Souray will surely help the Oilers powerplay, is Sheldon Souray really worth 5.4 million a year for 5 years? Is Sheldon Souray (a slow-footed defenseman with a booming slap shot who is prone to constant turnovers) worth more than Captain Canada? Um, No. **(Here on the Island we have a similar player in Marc-Andre Bergeron, but while MAB also has defensive lapses, his contract is nowhere nearly as high as Souray's and MAB is much quicker on his skates).**

Now that's right up there with some of Milbury's past blunders. Krazy Kevin Lowe replaced the heart and soul of Edmonton with a cement footed offensive defenseman who racked up a horrible plus/minus last season. Smyth ended up getting $6.3 million from Colorado for 5 years, but if the Oilers did not trade him to the Isles at the deadline, Smyth most certainly would have accepted a similar contract to the one that the Oilers had offered Souray.

To top this off, Krazy Kevin Lowe decided he would start throwing money around at restricted free agents. By sending offer sheets to Thomas Vanek (which was matched by Buffalo), and then to the Duck's Dustin Penner (not matched), Lowe has been artificially increasing the market value of not only these players, but the system as a whole. In addition, Krazy Kev sacrificed more than the outrageous money he must now pay Penner--he sacrificed Edmonton's 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round picks in next year's draft. If we look at this deal as if it were a trade, which essentially it was, would you ever give up a 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round pick for a young player who has had 1 OK season (29 goals) and earned only the league minimum last year? If our GM did this we would be in uproar that we gave up way too many draft picks in an upcoming draft which is supposed to be one of the deepest in years. I have read from many sources that Edmonton is overpaying Penner approximately $2 million more than his market value. While Penner might continue to grow as a player, it's very likely that the Oilers will regret this move in a few years. So after Lowe himself complained about how big market teams would increase player salaries by overpaying them and effectively causing the strike and the loss of an entire season of hockey, Lowe himself is acting like a big market team and overpaying and increasing salary thresholds for players who should be signed to smaller salary contracts.

So while we may be angry that Snow is taking his time in making moves, at least we know he is making moves after thinking them through completely, as opposed to the headline grabbing moves we became accustomed to under the reign of Milbury and the Kraziness currently followed by Kevin Lowe this summer.

Remember, patience is a virtue. All you have to do is look at our own team's history to realize this.

P.S. - Once any word on the Hunter case comes out, we will be all over it.

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

OK, you're right ! ! Snow is the 29 th worst GM in hockey.....Bill

Candyman said...

Haha as long as you're willing to admit that...J

Anonymous said...

Well......Snow inched closed to
Lowe today by signing Hunter for 1 year. This means that after next year, Hunter is a free agent. I don't like the sound of that at all.

Hunter is 27 years old and is one of the few "true" Islanders. Snow should have wrapped him up for 4 or 5 years at todays market.
Does anyone really expect his value to drop?

I guess Hunters mistake was not being a fourth line player. Otherwise, he would have been signed like Sim.....Bill

Anonymous said...

I've been reading that Stephen Weiss is unhappy in Fla. and that he may be moved.

Snow better be first on line to grab him if he becomes available. I think he has tremendous upside and would be the best signing of the off season if the Ilses could grab him.

Thoughts?.........Bill

Candyman said...

If Hunter can notch close to 30 goals, then his price will surely be more than what the Isles are currently paying for his services. What if he uses the Dustin Penner contract as a threshold?

This is the type of damage Lowe has done to the NHL. There is still a chance an extention with Hunter will be worked out.

Weiss would be a great addition to the Isles. Actually, any legitimate scoring forward would be a great addition. It would be a shame if the Isles limped into the upcomming season with the roster they have now.

J Picker said...

Bill,

I agree with you on Weiss, if hes our there a serious look needs to be made into acquiring him.

If I remember correctly from the statements that were made when they decided to go to arbitration and also in the few statements released prior to the hearing, that each side wanted to sign a multi year deal. Based on that you could only the difference in Hunter's asking price vs. Snow's offer was large enough for them to decide to go to an arbitrator to determine Hunter's value and then using this ruling as a basis for a long term deal. Remember just because each side accepted the ruling, does not mean that a deal could be worked it. Instead of it being it own separate contract, it would effectively be an extension to this deal that was signed.

Anonymous said...

That Lowe essay hit the mark. Well the Oilers Dynasty was right after the Isles so I guess it's their turn to have a desperate crazy GM.

I think if the Islanders can amass a bunch of picks for next season for packaging some players for 2nd round 3rd picks (Not much to give to get a 1st rounder) then they should be in decent shape the next couple of years.

Whether they make the playoffs this year or not will depend on how much Nolan is able to get from the guys and how well or bad other teams in the Conference perform.

There are still too many stacked teams out there for the Islanders to even try to make a deep run this year. Building from within will give them a good core for years to come. I'd rather have player stability then these shot gun acquisitions that end up costing us prospects.

Anonymous said...

J,

Hunter would be a fool to forego free agency next year. He will be 28 and will be sought after by many teams no matter what he does this season. If he has a breakout year, Snow will again look like a fool when Hunter walks for nothing.

And you guys can laugh at Lowe all you want, but he got 3 number one picks for Smyth. What did Snow get for him? Oh, that's right....NOTHING......Bill

Candyman said...

I liked the idea of the Smyth deal in theory. Just wrong time wrong team. The Isles this season did not need a new leader. They didn't need another gritty forward who could chip in a few goals. They needed a big-time defenseman. The Isles might have been able to counter the Smyth trade and the loss of 3 first round draft picks if they had traded Jason Blake at the deadline.

gward said...

gOOD MORNING 2 J,S........

I just got done reading the new york post. Larry Brooks is stating that Markov wants to return to Russia with his boy Yashin. Ive got it on semi good info. that the Wings offered him somewhere around 2.75 per but he is looking for 3 or 3.5. One thing that makes me leary regarding Markov is that he partners with Lindstrom. Hell, I could probably D along with Nikolas Norris, as he makes everyone look better. I think for that reason, and the money, we should look elsewhere. I like what Bill was saying(despite his overall negativity)about Weiss. Rumor has it, he thinks the Panthers play a little to soft, so his 20 goals, could turn into 30 on a Nolan coached team with some more ice time. I think also we could have him relatively cheap. That still leaves a hole on D. How much do you think it would take to sign a Sutton or a Mcabe plus a forward like Weiss? Thoughts...........

Have a great day...

Anonymous said...

Hey Laffs, I don't see it as "negativity." I am just pointing out the obvious. I would love to believe that we had a strong team and were going to contend for the Cup this year. But we don't.

Excluding DP, we lost our five best players. Usually a team attempts to replace its bottom five players with fresh blood and gets younger and better.

We kept our worst players and signed a couple of stopgaps. Snow has also clogged the roster so that there is no room for developing players.

Does anbody on this blog love the John Sim signing? Fedotanko?

Comrie is a solid player and may turn out to be the best move made by Snow. If Guerrin can play like he has in the past, then he will be fine. After that it's very "iffy."

As I see it (only my opinion) Snow should have scrapped Hibert, Bates, Simon, Park and Sim. He could have replaced them with Bergenheim, Tambellini, Neilssen, and Noke. He should have kept Asham who is a valuable third/fourth line player.

The longer this drags one with Markov, the less chance I see in him signing here. The defense is in shambles and there is no QB for the power play.

This roster may win a few games but over an 82 game schedule will be exposed for what it is. A 10th place team, with no shot at the playoffs.

Maybe one of you guys can explain it to me, but I just don't understand the plan here....Bill