Friday, August 10, 2007

Kick Save and a Beauty


For the first time in a long time on Long Island, Islanders fans finally know they have a legitimate star player. And for the first time in franchise history, their only true star player is their goaltender. Being an NHL goaltender is quite unique. Goaltenders can steal games for their teams and can carry their teams on their shoulders for extended periods of times. Unlike position players who are stars, you can't double team a goaltender in an effort to shut him down. So if he's on, good luck.

The Islanders this season will only be as good as Rick DiPietro allows them to be. DP proved last season that he can carry this team on a fork lift if necesary. He carried them on a huge stretch right up until his head injury against Montreal that propelled the Isles as far as 6th place in the standings. When the Isles stumbled as low as 11th place, it became apparent how valueable DP was to the Isles. Even though his play was a little eratic towards the beginning of the season, when looking at the season as a whole, there is no question that this was his finest season in the NHL. He tied a franchise record with 32 wins and had a stellar .919 save percentage.

Get this: of all goalies who played at least 50 games last season, DiPietro was 3rd in the NHL in save percentage, behind Brodeur's .922 and Luongo's .921. That's some pretty excellent company. Save percentage is the most telling stat for a goaltender, because it is a measure of how many goals a goaltender allows based on the amount of shots he faces. A number like goals against average really is more of a measure of team defense than it is a measure of a goaltender's ability. For example, Luongo's save percentage has been great for years, while his GAA has been mediocre being that he was on a weak Panthers team. As for DP, the intangible when examining a goaltender's save percentage is the quality of shots/scoring chances he is facing.

If DP can put up a similar save percentage this season and the Isles can limit the quality scoring chances in front of him, then look for the Isles to do some damage this season. That is a BIG "if." The Isles need to make a push for some bigger crease clearing defenseman so they can match each of their defensive defenseman up with puck-movers MAB and Campoli. Martinek is very sound defensively, but is hardly the crease clearing type. This kind of thinking leads us back to Markov, if he could be had for the right price.

Looking into the crystal ball, I would look for DP to play 70 games, and compile a record of 32-23-12, with a 2.38 GAA and a 0.923 save percentage. DP is entering the prime of his career and his best seasons are ahead of him. Hopefully the Isles can use these years to their advantage. Because in 10 years, look for the Isles to have a new up and coming starting goaltender, and a very expensive backup.

4 comments:

PIGSKINSANDPUCKS said...

Isles sign Sutton!

I'm very happy about this. I was wondering who was going to fight Colton Orr next season:)

Seriously, though...players with a snarl.

Slot him with either MAB or Campoli and we have another Stay at Home D-Man (besides Witt) who will free them up to create offense.

Nice one, Garth.

-Frank

Anonymous said...

I could not agree with you more about DP. I hope to see him play about 65 games as I think he tends to wear down after 7 or 8 in a row.
Dubie has proved he can play and be a reliable backup. Certainly an upgrade over Dunham.

Signing Sutton tells me that Snow has thrown in the towel on Markov.
Too bad. In my opinion, he was a better choice than Sutton.

Signing Sutton is a slight upgrade over Hill. He is bigger but he is also slower. Hill played on the PP. Anyone know if Sutton played on the Thrashers PP? I don't recall but I don't think so. So this still leaves us without a legit PP QB.

A good step but, a small one............Bill

Candyman said...

Nolan apparently coveted Sutton over Markov. I trust Nolan's judgment.

Sutton is much bigger and will prove to be much more useful on the penalty kill. I'm not sure how fast Sutton is blue line to blue line, but I can't imagine a player much slower than Hill.

gward said...

Great job j. Im pretty happy w the sutton signing, as there is no substitute for size and strength.Id love to see him w/ campoli and then witt/martinek.

For all the reasons you stated, I think signing DP to the long term contract was a good move. As a result of this, you have your star player locked up for about 4 and a half per year.

Whats next in our crstal ball? Im guessing another center and maybe one more d. Comments?